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Avoiding Turbulence

Atmospheric Dynamacists Make Flights Smoother: Models Predict Clear Air Turbulence

February 1, 2009

Atmospheric dynamacists designed a mathematical model to predict the location and duration of gravity waves in the atmosphere so that planes can avoid the resulting turbulence. Gravity waves are invisible to pilots and come with no apparent warnings--such as stormy weather. These waves cause clear air turbulence--spontaneous turbulence felt while flying in clear weather, when no apparent atmospheric disturbances are present. The model will give pilots adequate warning in order to avoid gravity waves and a subsequently rocky ride.

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Science Insider

WHAT IS TURBULENCE? Turbulence is what happens when the flow of air experiences a sudden disruption due to a change in wind speed or direction. It can occur in any fluid, from gases to liquids. We can see turbulent flow in rivers and streams, in steam rising from a boiling kettle, or even when we stir cream into our morning cup of coffee. And most of us have experienced mild turbulence while flying in an airplane; the plane is flying through a "sea" of air, and sometimes the "waves" are choppy. Many things can cause turbulence: rising warm air, thunderstorms, even strong winds blowing over the tops of mountains, buildings and other objects in its way. Extreme turbulence is caused by severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, or hurricanes; airplanes usually divert their courses to avoid such areas. Turbulence on flights can be annoying, but passengers are usually safe so long as they keep their seat belts fastened. The bumps and jolts don't generally affect the aircraft or its flight path. Severe turbulence can be avoided by flying around storm cells, or changing to a higher altitude.

GRAVITY WAVES: Atmospheric gravity waves are similar to waves on the surface of the ocean, but they are in the air instead of on water. The waves are set in motion by a disturbance in the atmosphere such as a change in the wind speed or direction, a sudden updraft from a thunderstorm, or a change in the jet stream high in the atmosphere. Atmospheric gravity waves act just like the ripples around a rock thrown into a pond. Gravity keeps the waves rolling.

The American Meteorological Society, the American Physical Society, the American Mathematical Society, the Mathematical Association of America, and the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences contributed to the information contained in the TV portion of this report.

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On The Web: Why Do Things Go Bump In Your Flight?

To Go Inside This Science:

John Knox
Atmospheric Scientist
The University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30602
706.542.2118
johnknox@uga.edu

James Riordon, Media Relations
American Physical Society
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Riordon@aps.org

Mike Breen and Annette Emerson
American Mathematical Society
Providence, RI 02904-2294
paoffice@ams.org
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Ivars Peterson
Mathematical Association of America
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ipeterson@maa.org
1-800-741-9415

American Meteorological Society
Boston, MA 02108-3693
617-227-2425

Barry List
INFORMS
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barry.list@informs.org


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