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New Spin on Tornadoes

Earth and Atmospheric Scientists Determine Which Hurricanes Will Create the Most Tornadoes, Generate Forecast

September 1, 2010

Once a hurricane reaches land, it can trigger tornadoes. Now, earth and atmospheric scientists have found a way to determine which hurricanes have the potential to spawn the most hurricanes by studying hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico. The computer model takes into account the structure of the hurricane as well as other atmospheric conditions to provide a tornado forecast for inland residents who may be in harm's way.

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HOW DOES A HURRICANE FORM? A hurricane is a type of tropical cyclone, a low-pressure system that usually forms in the tropics and has winds that circulate counterclockwise near the Earth's surface in the Northern Hemisphere. Storms are considered hurricanes when their wind speeds surpass 74 MPH. Every hurricane arises from the combination of warm water and moist warm air. Tropical thunderstorms drift out over warm ocean waters and encounter winds coming in from near the equator. Warm, moist air from the ocean surface rises rapidly, encounters cooler air, and condenses into water vapor to form storm clouds, releasing heat in the process. This heat causes the condensation process to continue, so that more and more warm moist air is drawn into the developing storm, creating a wind pattern that spirals around the relatively calm center, or eye, of the storm, much like water swirling down a drain. The winds keep circling and accelerating to form a classic cyclone pattern.

ABOUT TORNADOES: A tornado begins with a thunderstorm cloud, which can build up a lot of energy. If this energy creates a particularly strong updraft of air, it will form a vortex, much like how a whirlpool forms in a draining bathtub. The air is pulled toward the center in a spiral, forming a tornado under the thundercloud. Wind speeds can reach 200 to 300 MPH, and if the dangling vortex touches ground, the combination of the whirling wind's speed, the updraft, and pressure differences can cause severe damage. The path of a tornado is determined by the path of the parent thundercloud, but it will often appear to hop (called a "jumper"). This occurs when the vortex is disturbed, causing it to collapse momentarily and reform.

The American Meteorological Society, and the American Geophysical Union contributed to the information contained in the TV portion of this report.

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To Go Inside This Science:
James Belanger
School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
Georgia Institute of Technology
james.belanger@gatech.edu

American Meteorological Society
Boston, MA 02108-3693
617-227-2425

Peter Weiss
American Geophysical Union
Washington, DC 20009-1277
pweiss@agu.org
202-777-7507


© 2011 American Institute of Physics