A cellular automata model for the transmission of Citrus Variegated
Chlorosis (CVC), a disease that devastates citrus tree yields,
has been developed by researchers at the Federal University of
Vicosa and Instituto Agronomico de Campinas in Brazil. The model
simulates the travels of sharpshooter leafhopper insects, the
primary CVC transmission vector, between citrus groves.
The researchers (M.L. Martins, 011-55-031-899-2993, mmartins@mail.ufv.br)
assumed that the insects infect a number of plants in one area,
and occasionally travel long distances to feed on, and ultimately
infect, plants in another area. Models of random motion that include
such leaps from one area to another, known to mathematicians as
Levy flights, are often applied in studying the physics of chaotic
systems involving fluid flow, chemical kinetics, and semiconductors.
In addition to the new CVC transmission insights, Levy flights
have recently proven valuable in understanding the foraging activity
of animals from amoebas to deer, and for simulating human activities
such as the childhood game of hide-and-seek. Plant stress and
seasonal effects were among the factors that influenced the Lévy
flights in the model which predicts CVC epidemic progression much
more accurately than models relying on less sophisticated, random-walk
simulations of insect behavior. (Martins
et al., Physical Review E, November 2000; Select Article.)